PROOF · SHOW YOUR WORK15 ARTIFACTS · PUBLIC-DATA REPRODUCIBLE

CHRISTIAN.T.MACIONUTC+816 ARTIFACTSNDA-CLEANOWNER-VERIFIED

Proof. Public or self-owned only.

15 artifacts. Public-data reproducible. 16 on disk.

Strongest evidence first: 9 quant strategies with public-data backtests, then6 AI projects with frozen-spec eval harnesses. Each row links to the write-up. Metrics come from project frontmatter, not hand-written.

P.2 · Research artifacts

9 quant · 6 AI. Public-data reproducible.

One row, one result. Metric from project frontmatter. Each row links to the write-up.

Topic
Type

Quant projects to 9

  1. Open Source2025-09-2012 min read
    QUANTMultiple Testing & the Deflated Sharpe Ratio1.14Best-of-160 in-sample SharpeSep 2025

    Best-of-160 BTC rule: IS Sharpe 1.14 is only 1.24× the pure-noise expectation : DSR = 0.70 (fail).

  2. Open Source2025-10-1510 min read
    QUANTCross-Sectional Momentum (18 coins)0.91In-sample SharpeOct 2025

    IS Sharpe 0.91 → OOS −0.03 : an honest decay; bootstrap CI straddles zero.

  3. Open Source2025-12-209 min read
    QUANTTime-Series Momentum + Vol Targeting0.27Sharpe (raw)Dec 2025

    Vol-targeting lifts Sharpe 0.27 → 0.39 and halves max DD (−62% → −30%).

  4. Open Source2026-01-2511 min read
    QUANTThe Variance Risk Premium (VIX vs Realized)85%Years VRP > 0Jan 2026

    Implied > realized 85% of 36 yrs; predicts returns, Newey-West t = +6.5.

  5. Open Source2026-02-188 min read
    QUANTPairs Trading via Cointegration (BTC / ETH)−2.11ADF test statisticFeb 2026

    ADF −2.11 (not cointegrated), half-life 208 d : the fade loses, as the test predicts.

  6. Open Source2026-04-0510 min read
    QUANTCrypto Funding-Carry+11.9%Annualized fundingApr 2026

    Funding +11.9% annualized premium; fade IS 1.11 → OOS −0.05 (decayed post-2023).

  7. Open Source2026-05-109 min read
    QUANTMacro / Volatility-Regime Overlay0.64Sharpe (base)May 2026

    Vol-managed exposure: Sharpe 0.64 → 0.67, max DD −58% → −42%.

  8. Open Source2026-05-2811 min read
    QUANTBacktest Engine + Cost Model0.20Sharpe (gross)May 2026

    High-turnover signal wins gross (0.20 > 0.13) but loses net of cost : break-even 20 bps.

  9. Open Source2026-06-188 min read
    QUANTLook-Ahead Bias Audit (the shift test)0.59Clean SharpeJun 2026

    A leak inflates Sharpe 0.59 → 5.07; the shift test exposes it as 88% phantom.

AI projects to 6

  1. Open Source2025-11-158 min read
    AIRAG Recall Eval0.886recall@3Nov 2025

    RAG service that proves its own retrieval : recall@3 = 0.886, MRR@3 = 0.805 with offline stdlib TF-IDF retriever.

  2. Open Source2026-02-049 min read
    AIEval MCP Server20 / 20MCP conformanceFeb 2026

    MCP server exposing the slop-evaluation gate over Tools, Resources, and Prompts : 20/20 conformance, 100% round-trip parity.

  3. Open Source2025-12-0810 min read
    AITool-Call Agent100%Tool / arg correctnessDec 2025

    ReAct-style tool-calling agent with OTel traces, fault injection, and 100% tool/arg correctness.

  4. Open Source2026-01-1211 min read
    AILLM-as-Judge Harness0.58Cohen's κ (vs human)Jan 2026

    LLM-as-judge pipeline validated against human raters : Cohen's κ = 0.58 with bootstrap CI and position-bias measured.

  5. Open Source2026-03-017 min read
    AIReflect-Revise Loop127.5 → 14.0Mean SLOP scoreMar 2026

    Reflection-loop agent : mean SLOP 127.5 → 14.0 across drafts, 3/4 improved, 1/4 honest no-progress halt.

  6. Open Source2026-03-226 min read
    AISlop Scanner81 → 3Real-draft improvementMar 2026

    13-metric literature-grounded AI-output quality gate : drove a real draft from HEAVY (81) to CLEAN (3).

P.5 · Public track record

Lectures, charts, feeds.

Two USeP EGE 313 lectures, one public TradingView chart, three Atom feeds (portfolio · project · solution updates).

Live Presenter-view delivery, Sep 13 2024. Webcam lower-right; deck filename 'MACION. MANOBO. PIC. ECE3A. 230pm. MW' visible in the PPT Edit-mode frame.
Three weeks before the lecture: same deck, drafted end-to-end via a ChatGPT session. The precursor pattern to the current 31-gate authoring harness.

Operator-discretion chart

TradingView chart of XAUT/USDT (tokenized gold) on the 1-hour timeframe with Elliott Wave counts. Public chart by @CryptoneedsChrist.
XAUT/USDT perpetual futures, 1h, MEXC. Elliott Wave count by @CryptoneedsChrist (public TradingView handle). Operator-discretion; not part of the systematic book.@CryptoneedsChrist · public TradingView · Jan 3 2026

Atom feeds. 3 streams

P.5b · External accounts

Six external accounts and surfaces, each with a handle and a public, dated metric. Hairline-rule rows, no thumbnails. If a row is empty, it means that channel isn't public yet.

Numerai
not public yet
correlation / MMC / TC
see /positions
HuggingFace
@christianmacion
MCP server artifact
/projects/ai/04-eval-mcp-server
GitHub
christianmacion26
102 certs · 76.5k LOC · 15 OSS projects
github.com/christianmacion26
TradingView
@CryptoneedsChrist
public chart · Elliott Wave
tradingview.com/u/CryptoneedsChrist
Atom feeds
3 streams
feed.xml · feed-projects.xml · feed-solutions.xml
/feed.xml
Medium
@christianmacion26
public essays
medium.com/@christianmacion

P.5d · Evidence index

The AARs behind the page.

Twelve AARs from the last 30 days that produced, audited, or updated the artifacts above. Each filename resolves to a markdown file at ~/.claude/cache/corporate/aars/.

DateAARWhat it produced
2026-08-01portfolio-v9-3-wave-2-shipWave-2 ship: chrome, motion, a11y, IA. the v9.3 baseline this page sits on
2026-08-01portfolio-v9-3-wave-2.5-security-fixesWave-2.5: HSTS + 5 CVE patches + Lighthouse 4/4 97-100, audit 64→88+
2026-08-01portfolio-v9-3-architecture-auditArchitecture audit · score 62 · the basis for C-1 ChromeHeader consolidation
2026-08-01portfolio-v9-3-voice-auditVoice audit · score 88 · the basis for P.5c 'pending attestation' rewrite
2026-08-01portfolio-v9-3-a11y-auditA11y audit · score 95 · WCAG 2.2 AA + axe 0/91
2026-08-01portfolio-v9-3-token-dedupe-atomicToken dedupe · 52→0 drift · the basis for the sharp-corner register
2026-08-01portfolio-v9-3-wave-5-verificationWave-5 verify · 9/9 routes 3/3 mobile · 1173/1173 QA baseline
2026-08-02portfolio-design-auditThe v9.3.1 design audit this page rebuild closes (50 findings)
2026-08-02accion-thesis-b-triageQuant strategy triage · Lane C gates applied (G40 to G45 + K13)
2026-08-02c2-deep-preflightC2 deep pre-flight · READY-FOR-BACKTEST · 6 hard-stop kill triggers
2026-08-02afk-sweep-v2p6-outcomeAFK sweep v2.6 · 10/10 KILL · 43 cumulative · real-but-too-thin binding constraint
2026-08-02methodology-amendments-approvedG36 + G37 + R-methodology-loop approved · data-coverage + bid-ask-bounce

P.6 · What's not here

NDA-positive disclosure.

What's not here: photos of NDA-protected offices. Proprietary strategy outputs. Client calendars. Everything on this page is public-data or self-owned. The systematic-strategy desk role is a closed past contract. If the proof you need isn't on this page, email me. If it's public, I send it within 24 hours.

Want a specific artifact?

Email me with the proof you need. If it's public, NDA-clean, and I have it on disk, I'll send it within 24 hours.

Email meRead /experience